Xam’s Daily Gems:
My Plays of The Day
❤️IF TAILING, as we’ve won 60 of our last 91 Free Plays of the Day!🔥(65.93%)
Walker Kessler Over 12.5 -125 DraftKings 1 Unit
Walker Kessler has teammates sitting out an EXCELLENT matchup tonight. Lauri Markkanen, Jordan Clarkson, AND John Collins are ALL OUT TONIGHT! So Kessler won’t have to fight for shots AND faces a Raptors team that have been KILLED by opposing Centers recently. In his last 6 games, Kessler is averaging OVER 30 minutes per game AND averages over 13 points per game. He’s gone over this line in 6 of his last 9 games. He’s ALSO averaging 32.5 minutes per game in that stretch. So we HAVE TO PLAY THIS as he’s over in 5 of his last 6 games when averaging 32+ minutes per game AND the Raptors STRUGGLE against quality Centers like him.
Toumani Camara 12+ Points “O” -155 DraftKings 1 Unit
Botj Deni Avdija AND Jerami Grant are questionable tonight. If even ONE of them sits tonight, this will give Camara PLENTY of opportunities! Camara has NILED the Thunder this season, totaling no less than 13 points per game over 3 games against them! Camara is averaging a ROBUST 34.6 minutes per game in his last 10 games and scoring nearly 14 PPG in that stretch. ON TOP OF him shooting over 44% from beyond-the-arc, giving him a GREAT chance to hit this number in a competitive game! Which means we HAVE TO PLAY THIS as Camara is a DEADLY 3-point shooter and OKC STRUGGLES defending guys like Camara. If he can be efficient tonight and hit a couple 3s, Camara should hit this EASILY!
Nikola Jokic Under 10.5 Assists -132 FanDuel 1 Unit
Jokic is UNDER this line in ALL THREE GAMES vs the Suns, going for no more than 9 assists in their matchups. In fact, with Russell Westbrook playing, Jokic is averaging JUST 10.3 assists per game this season. With Westbrook playing 35+ minutes this has REALLY hampered Jokic’s assist opportunities. And Jokic has JUST 13.5 POTENTIAL ASSISTS in his last 2 games. Which means we HAVE TO take the Under here after Jokic is Under this line in 11/15 games with Russell Westbrook and UNDER in the last 16/25 games OVERALL! ON TOP OF Jokic being UNDER in 3/3 home games since January 23rd!
Kevin Durant 25+ Points “O” -145 DraftKings 1 Unit
We all saw what Kevin Durant did to the Clippers in the 4th quarter Tuesday, scoring 19 points! Durant has gone OVER this line in 4 of his last 5 games and has taken 22+ field goal attempts in each of the last 2 games. With the Mavericks falling apart, the Play-In is WIDE OPEN for the Suns. The Suns SHOULD give Kevin Durant ALL THE MINUTES HE CAN HANDLE tonight coming off 2 days rest. He played 38+ minutes in EACH of his last 2 games. Durant is OVER this line in 18/22 games this season when logging 38+ minutes! Which means we HAVE TO PLAY THIS especially as Kevin Durant has DOMINATED the Nuggets since he’s joined the Suns!
James Harden Over 39.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists -106 FanDuel 1 Unit
James Harden is coming off a 50-point MASTERPIECE in his last game and has gone OVER this line in EACH of his past 2 games! Harden is averaging a ROBUST 38.7 minutes per game over his last 10 games which is 4 minutes MORE than his season long average. ON TOP OF the Knicks coming off GUT-WRENCHING overtime loss yesterday so they will be EXHAUSTED coming into this game! Especially as the Clippers are just 1.5 games back of escaping the Play-In tournament and can’t afford to give ANY games away! So we HAVE TO PLAY THIS as Harden is logging more minutes than EVER this season and is AVERAGING 40.2 PRAs across his last 10 games DESPITE shooting 33.3% from beyond-the-arc!