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XAM’s Strategy

Xam Sports Consulting’s mission is to build a community through sports betting.  Our dream is to inspire and bring people together through rooting for the same outcome.  It’s not about the money, but about being together, even if we’re not physically in the same place.  Winning together is always better than winning alone.  We win and lose as one team.

We focus the strategy for the long term, building on our Best Bets Strategy.

Best Bets is designed to be straightforward.  This is where you will find our best Picks for the day.  We will be offering Picks on MLB, NFL, NBA, and the hot sports for the day.  These are designed to use a flat betting strategy with our 1-3 Best Bets per day.

As Xam Sees It

Be Careful Betting on the National Championship Tonight 2560 1707 The Ultimate Lineup
  • Xam

Be Careful Betting on the National Championship Tonight

As everyone knows, tonight is the NCAA Finals between Purdue and UConn tonight. As with any championship game in a major sport, this game is the number 1 talked about event in the sports world today and has been since the Final Four games ended Saturday.

This is why we must be SO careful when betting on the game! The higher profile the sporting event, the sharper the lines will be from the Sportsbook. Sports traders, those who actively originate the lines and move it accordingly, know a lot people will want to bet on this game, and enjoy watching it on national tv. Generally speaking, the more popular a sporting event is, the more Sportsbooks will focus their efforts on that game, and ensuring their lines are the best they can be. That’s why you can bet more on this game, or the games with the most attention, than you can on random soccer games.

So what does this mean for betting on the game? Should you avoid betting on the game? OF COURSE NOT! This is the NCAA Finals, after all! However, it’s important to keep in mind that it’s not the worst idea to tread lightly on this game. We don’t ever advocate this strategy, but this is certainly NOT the game to bet more than a standard unit of your bankroll on. Sportsbooks will, generally speaking, allow for higher limits because of the marquee nature of this game.

This is a great time to remember that one game should NEVER be more important than another game. Winning a bet on the NCAA Finals isn’t any different than winning a bet in baseball, soccer, or any other sport! Enjoy the game tonight, but PLEASE remember that it’s only one game! Please enjoy responsibly!

 

Sports Betting 101

Betting Markets

  • Core: Bet on the game

    • Spread – The spread is essentially a handicap for both teams. If the spread of the game is 7 points, you’ll see the favorite at -7, and the underdog at +7. You would essentially adding 7 points to the scoreboard to the underdog before the game begins. The underdog is handicap because they’re expecting to lose. The underdog would have to lose by 6 or less (or win outright) for the bet to the winner. If the favored team wins by 8 or more. The favorite will be the the winning selection. If the favorite wins by exactly 7 points, that is called a push, or tie in other words. All bets on -7  and +7 would be returned to the bettor.
    • Money Line – This is a bet on who is going to win a sporting event. When you bet the money line on a team, it doesn’t matter if the team wins by 1 or by 30. A win is a win! Having said that, betting on favorites will have you earning less money then betting on underdogs. This is because the favorite is expected to win. Lets say that you wanted to bet on a team that is -158. For every $158 you bet, you would be set to win $100. You get a total of $258 back. If you bet on an underdog that is +170, for every $100 you bet, you’d win $170. You would get a total return of $270.
    • Total – Betting on a total means you are betting on a total amount of points being scored in the game. It doesn’t matter what either team does in the game. If you bet on a football game to go over 47 points. You’d want both teams to combine for 48 points or more. If both teams score 46 points or less that would be a losing wager. If the game ends at exactly 47 points, that is a push and you would be getting your original bet back.

  • Proposition Bet (Prop Bet): in the Game

    • Props are events that happen within a game (Think strike outs, Touchdowns, Made 3’s)
    • You can get very creative with these types of bets. For example, Sportsbooks such as FanDuel Sportsbook offer “alternate” prop lines on passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, and even receptions! This makes it easier than ever to combine your favorite players in a big parlay for a big payout

  • Futures: through the Game

    • Bet on how the team will do in the future
    • Overall projected outcome from the season (lie Ravens to win the AFC North)
    • There’s plenty of creative possibilities here as well.

XAM’s Best Bets

2,670-2,405-37

Records

1,723-1,513-37

Gems

947-892

Props

3-3

Futures

Xam’s Daily Gems 4-19 150 150 The Ultimate Lineup

Xam’s Daily Gems 4-19

Xam’s Daily Gems: Cubs Money Line -162 FanDuel Phillies -1 -144 DraftKings Astros Money Line -170 DraftKings Yankees Money Line -174 FanDuel Heat Money Line -125 DraftKings Guardians -1 -125 DraftKings Braves -1 -156 DraftKings Twins Money Line -152 FanDuel Brewers First 5 Innings Money Line -122 FanDuel Kings Money Line -118 FanDuel Padres Money…

Xam’s Daily Gems 4-18 2000 1125 The Ultimate Lineup

Xam’s Daily Gems 4-18

Xam’s Daily Gems: Red Sox Money Line -118 FanDuel Cubs Money Line -152 FanDuel Avalanche Money Line -140 FanDuel Giants Money Line -166 DraftKings

Xam’s Daily Gems 4-17 2000 1125 The Ultimate Lineup

Xam’s Daily Gems 4-17

Xam’s Daily Gems: Mets Money Line -134 FanDuel Royals -1 -166 DraftKings (Game 1) Braves Money Line -138 FanDuel Dodgers -1 -185 DraftKings Cardinals/Athletics Over 7.5 Runs -138 FanDuel Phillies -1 -173 DraftKings Rockies/Phillies Over 7 Runs -175 DraftKings 76ers -2 -195 DraftKings Heat/76ers Over 203.5 Points -165 DraftKings Red Sox First 5 Innings Money…

Xam’s Daily Gems 4-16 2000 1125 The Ultimate Lineup

Xam’s Daily Gems 4-16

Xam’s Daily Gems: Rangers Money Line -120 FanDuel Orioles -1 -119 DraftKings Phillies -1 -197 DraftKings Giants Money Line -130 DraftKings Yankees Money Line +102 DraftKings Red Wings Money Line -192 FanDuel Lakers/Pelicans Over 223 Points -130 DraftKings Padres Money Line -125 DraftKings Royals -1 -163 DraftKings Braves Money Line -120 FanDuel Cardinals/Athletics Over 8…

Xam’s Daily Gems 4-15 2000 1125 The Ultimate Lineup

Xam’s Daily Gems 4-15

Xam’s Daily Gems: Rockies/Phillies Over 8 Runs -161 DraftKings Rays Money Line -155 DraftKings Royals -1 -142 DraftKings Padres/Brewers Over 7.5 Runs -158 DraftKings Cardinals -1 -155 DraftKings Diamondbacks Money Line -148 FanDuel Seth Lugo Over 4.5 Ks -172 FanDuel

Xam’s Daily Gems 4-13 2000 1125 The Ultimate Lineup

Xam’s Daily Gems 4-13

Xam’s Daily Gems: Yankees Money Line -142 (Game 1) FanDuel Twins Money Line -130 (Game 1) FanDuel Mets Money Line -158 FanDuel Reds Money Line -126 FanDuel Blue Jays Money Line =178 FanDuel Astros Money Line -142 FanDuel

Xam’s Daily Gems 4-12 2000 1125 The Ultimate Lineup

Xam’s Daily Gems 4-12

Xam’s Daily Gems: Phillies -1 -120 DraftKings Blue Jays -1 -191 DraftKings Yankees -1 -123 DraftKings Braves -1 -154 DraftKings Royals/Mets Over 7 Runs -190 DraftKings Reds -1 -147 DraftKings Padres/Dodgers Over 7.5 Runs -146 DraftKings Suns Money Line -198 DraftKings Luis Severino Under 17.5 Outs Recorded -135 DraftKings Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 27.5 Points -130…

Xam’s Daily Gems 4-11 2000 1125 The Ultimate Lineup

Xam’s Daily Gems 4-11

Xam’s Daily Gems: Braves First 5 Innings Money Line -156 FanDuel Brewers First 5 Innings Money Line -140 FanDuel Rangers -1 -141 DraftKings Phillies Money Line -142 DraftKings Maple Leafs 60 Minute Money Line -130 FanDuel (For this bet to win, the Maple Leafs must win in regulation. Bet loses even if the Maple Leafs…

Xam’s Daily Gems 4-10 2000 1125 The Ultimate Lineup

Xam’s Daily Gems 4-10

Xam’s Daily Gems: Dodgers -1 -141 DraftKings Diamondbacks -1 +100 DraftKings Giants -1 -153 DraftKings Guardians -1 -194 DraftKings Padres Money Line -142 FanDuel Yankees -1 -173 DraftKings Braves First 5 Innings Money Line -166 FanDuel Suns -2 -165 DraftKings Canucks 60 Minute Money Line -155 DraftKings (For this bet to win, the Canucks must…

Xam’s Futures

Ravens to win the AFC North +145
Broncos to make the playoffs -146
Vikings to make the playoffs -138
Red Sox under 85.5 wins -122
Tigers over 78.5 wins -110
Padres under 89.5 wins -122

Futures Strategy

Sometimes, instead of betting on an individual game, you’d rather bet on an entire season. This gives you something to root for over the course of the entire season, as opposed to just one game. Futures betting can be a way to keep you engaged during the entire season. Betting on Futures brings season-long excitement and a change from the typical highs and lows of daily sports betting. Whether you prefer betting on season win totals, certain teams to make the playoffs, or a dark horse to make a Cinderella run to the Super Bowl, Futures betting will enhance your sports betting experience!

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Bankroll Management

We design our picks to use a flat betting strategy. This means betting the same amount on every single pick. Taking the emotion out of betting on a game since no one game caries more importance then another. This is how we manage to “Bet with our head, not our heart”

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