Xam’s Daily Gems:
Browns/Texans Over 45 Points -110
These are two teams that have highly capable offenses. Joe Flacco has been a revelation since becoming the starter for the Browns. He completely shredded the Texans the last time these two teams faced off, and their offense overall has been humming for weeks. On the other side, CJ Stroud leads a Texans team who has more weapons than they get credit for. Nico COllins has turned into a real weapon and Dalton Schultz is a capable tight end. These teams combined for 58 points when they faced off in the same stadium just a few weeks ago. CJ Stroud didn’t even play in that game either! The Browns have been significantly worse defensively on the road this season. The home crowd will surely be revved up. These teams are coming into this game relatively healthy. The Browns rested their starters last week, so they should be ready to continue their offensive fireworks from recent weeks.
Knicks/Grizzlies Over 221.5 Points -110
As we discussed last night, the Grizzlies are significantly worse off defensively with some key injuries. Desmond Bane has been ruled out and Jaren Jackson Jr. may be as well. The Knicks have been riding high recently and have been doing whatever they want offensively since trading for OG Anunoby. The Knicks are averaging just under 116 points per game on the year, and over 119 points in their last 10 games. The Grizzlies are on the 2nd night of a back-to-back, and with their few remaining good players ruled out, there’s a chance of a blowout in this game. However, the Knicks just gave up 128 points to the Mavericks without facing Luka Doncic. If Memphis can score just a little bit and keep this interesting, the Knicks should be able to do the rest. They have several scorers who are capable of going off in a major way. Getting even a little bit of a contribution from guys like Xavier Tillman and Vince Williams Jr. would go a long way to cashing this bet.
Jerome Ford Over 42.5 Rushing Yards -110
Ford has seen healthy volume as the lead running back for the Browns since Nick Chubb was lost for the year in Week 2. He had double digit carries in 11 games for the Browns this year. The Browns will want to keep Houston’s offense on the sidelines and keep the crowd quiet. The best way to do that is to pound the rock. He got 15 carries against the Texans when they faced off in the regular season. The Texans will likely key in on the passing game and not let Flacco have a repeat performance of their game from a few weeks ago. Ford has the trust in his coaching staff and has proven more than capable.