Xam’s Daily Gems:
Chiefs/Patriots Over 37.5 Points -108
The Chiefs have struggled offensively for much of the year, but Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid are too smart and too good to keep struggling with only 4 games left to go in the regular season. The Chiefs still have a shot at getting the top seed in the AFC, but to do that, they need to get their offense clicking. After last week’s tough loss at home, expect the Chiefs to be dialed in. Meanwhile, the Patriots may have had their best offensive game of the season when they last played in Pittsburgh, scoring 21 points. Bailey Zappe had the offense moving well and should be able to build on that today. The Chiefs should find things to do with success on offense, which means if the Patriots can contribute anything offensively, we should be able to get Over this number.
Commanders/Rams Over 50.5 Points -110
The Rams have been humming offensively recently, scoring 31 or more points in each of their last 3 games. Now, they have a team traveling across the country and face a defense that’s been struggling for a while, and especially since the Commanders traded Chase Young and Montez Sweat. The Commanders do have some pieces offensively, however. Sam Howell has played admirably and the Rams aren’t the same defensively as they were a couple years ago. Howell and the offense will likely be forced to air it out to keep up with the Rams, and the Ravens last week showed there’s ways to exploit the Rams defensively.
49ers/Cardinals Over 48.5 Points -110
The 49ers have been dominating offensively in recent weeks. They have scored 27 or more points in each of their last 5 games. Now, they face one of the worst defenses in the entire league. Brock Purdy and company should have no issues putting up tons of yards and points in this one. Meanwhile the Cardinals have been better offensively since QB Kyler Murray returned from a torn ACL. The Cardinals are also coming off their bye week, so they’re rested and will be motivated against a division rival in front of their home crowd. Once again, this comes down to whether or not the inferior team can keep up with the superior team. At home, the Cardinals should be able to move the ball and do enough offensively.
Bills Money Line -130
The Cowboys have played in plenty of emotional games recently, and are now coming off a short week after dominating the division rival Eagles on Sunday Night Football. The Cowboys have been great this year overall, but they’ve been vulnerable on the road. All 3 of their losses have come on the road, and 2 of them have been by double digits, including a shocking loss to the Arizona Cardinals. The Bills are also a good home team, and after beating the Chiefs last weekend, Bills Mafia should be out in full force today as the Bills look to stay in the playoff chase.